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Saturday, November 21, 2009

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Home > Research & Data > Real-Time Data Research Center > Survey of Professional Forecasters > Forecast Error Statistics for the Survey of Professional Forecasters

Forecast Error Statistics for the Survey of Professional Forecasters

The following files contain statistics on the accuracy of the projections for most variables in the survey. Click on the preferred file format from the table below.

Error Statistics for Projections for U.S. Business Indicators

Data Variable	File Format
Nominal Gross National Product/Gross Domestic Product (NGDP)	PDF	Text
Price Index for Gross National Product/Gross Domestic Product (PGDP)	PDF	Text
Civilian Unemployment Rate (UNEMP)	PDF	Text
Nonfarm Payroll Employment (EMP)	PDF	Text
Industrial Production Index (INDPROD)	PDF	Text
Housing Starts (HOUSING)	PDF	Text
3-Month Treasury Bill Rate (TBILL)	PDF	Text
AAA Corporate Bond Yield (BOND)	PDF	Text
10-Year Treasury Bond Rate (TBOND)	PDF	Text

Error Statistics for Projections for Real GDP and Its Components

Data Variable	File Format
Real Gross National Product/Gross Domestic Product (RGDP)	PDF	Text
Real Personal Consumption Expenditures (RCONSUM)	PDF	Text
Real Nonresidential Fixed Investment (RNRESIN)	PDF	Text
Real Residential Fixed Investment (RRESINV)	PDF	Text
Real Federal Government Consumption Expenditures & Gross Investment (RFEDGOV)	PDF	Text
Real State and Local Government Consumption Expenditures & Gross Investment (RSLGOV)	PDF	Text

Error Statistics for Projections for CPI

Data Variable	File Format
CPI Inflation Rate (CPI)	PDF	Text

Return to the main page for the Survey of Professional Forecasters.

• Last update: September 1, 2009